tacitus wrote: ↑
Sun Jan 14, 2018 9:28 am
Anti-Homer wrote: ↑
Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:04 pm
tacitus wrote: ↑
Sat Jan 13, 2018 5:28 pm
There are some people who would obviously be happy with Mack leaving. But it would be devastating to Xavier and the Big East.
If a perenial top-25 team in a prenial top-3 league cannot keep an up-and-coming coach, then it would send the wrong signal to recruits, other up-and-coming coaches, the media, and general hoops fan base.
Mack has not perfected his coaching style just yet. I really think he can take us to our first Final Four, or beyond. I just don't see any coach in the country replacing him withoug a major loss in momentum. Being in an a very unforgiving league, it could take us 5-10 years to get back to the Sweet 16.
Xavier and the Big East need Mack to stay until he has passed his prime and we have a Final Four under our belt to advertise ourselves as a destination job.
Same things were said when Gillen, Prosser, Matta, & Miller left. The culture of winning at X absolutely dwarfs CM, as it did with his predecessors. Also, losing the three best players, and another key contributor in O'Mara, coupled with an inferior recruiting class would provide the perfect time to leave. He has been gone twice in the past but reneged on Tenn when he learned of the sanctions, and CA when his wife vetoed it.
Louisville is arguably a top 7 job, who can triple CM's salary. Also, Louisville is just as much a hometown to CM as Cincinnati is. The only concern I have is that Bobinski is not the AD. With all due respect to Christopher, he hit the lotto a few years ago when he was plucked from BG. Frankly, I saw no great accomplishment during his tenure, but obviously, I hope he will be up to the task if it comes to it. Hopefully, he won't need to make that decision.
The Big East is competing with the power 5 schools for media time and recruits. Right now, we have four very solid D-1 basketball coaches and two NBA hall of famers who may turn out to be solid coaches. Fox Sports has been (perhaps strategically) selling the narrative all season about how Mack is the hometwon hero who has turned X into a destination job, the way the likes of Wright and Few have at their schools. Along comes Louisville and plucks him away without a fight to speak of. Apparently just whispers of that possibility has hurt recruiting and put Fox Sports on the defensive. If he leaves, it will be a major set back. Would we hire an up-and-coming coach to replace him? Of course! Would we continue to compete in the Big East and make runs in the tourney? Of course? But Mack is the only shot I can see for X becoming a destination job, for X making it to the Final Four in the next few years, and for the Big East solidifying its deserved role as a power conference with more than one elite team. (Even ESPN has come around!) That is what we are on the verge of right now. If Mack leaves, it puts all that off for who knows how long unless we really hit the lottery with the next hire.
I don't think the comment re: recruiting is accurate. I think most of the misses occurred before the scandal hit, and with the late misses, X didn't seem to be one of the last two teams in the mix. Also, CM's wife is from the Ville, so that, the huge raise, and going to a national power says more about the elite job of being the Ville's HC is, rather than any deficit at X.
X can up the ante but doesn't have the endowment to compete. However, it's time for Christopher to show his value by fundraising with big pocket corporate and individual (Muskieman) donors to give him a bump in pay if he isn't paid like a top 25 coach currently. It has to needle him that the underachieving coach across town reportedly makes several hundred thousand more than he does annually. Why else did he accept the CA job, before his wife vetoed it, if not for money? CA is not an attractive job.
Hopefully, the systemic corrupt culture and lack of institutional control will compel the NCAA to put the hammer down hard. Ironically, the Ville will have to help the NCAA do their job by providing evidence to the former, as they defend themselves from Pitino and Jurich's lawsuits. I'm sure they'll settle, to minimize public disclosure among other reasons.
I hope he stays, but if not, this is probably the optimal time for X. They lose their top 3 players and very valuable sub in O-Mara, and also have a subpar recruiting class, which comes off of the heels of losing a lot of players who transferred. That could set X back a couple of years. I don't think that's lost on any high-level coach.